Saturday, October 17, 2009

Energy Secretary Chu on the Prospects for Carbon Sequestration

At the conclusion of the Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum's 3rd Ministerial Meeting last week in London, the ministerial communique strongly endorsed the potential of carbon sequestration as a climate change mitigation technology, and urged member countries and other stakeholders to step up their efforts to research, develop and commercialize the technology on an aggressive timeline to 2020, calling for "many more" sequestration demonstration projects than are currently under way.

Carbon sequestration has unfortunately suffered from a rather narrow definition in the public perception, partly on account of one of its precursor technologies having arisen primarily in the oil sector, where enhanced oil recovery from existing fields was enabled by the injection of carbon dioxide directly into the oil fields. Being a heavier-than-oil supercritical liquid, carbon dioxide can force crude oil to the surface in oilfields where it would otherwise have remained trapped within geological formations. This version of carbon sequestration has come to be considered 'canonical' - while in truth, it is just a geological sequestration method, while there are also terrestrial-biologic and oceanic sequestration modes, among many others. Photosynthesis itself is a carbon dioxide sequestration technology (not yet mimicked effectively by human technology) and so are lungs, where gas exchange between blood vessels (alveoli) effectively separates carbon dioxide from blood supply and also replenishes it with oxygen!

In his letter to his ministerial colleagues, Secretary Chu further endorsed and encouraged the adoption of an aggressive timeline, importantly lending his considerable scientific prestige to a technology that so far had been viewed as somewhat tentative even by its proponents, going so far as to call for a deployment timeline to begin 10 years from now; cautioning also that success will not come easily, asking for a strong, highly focused R&D program, and making a 'call to action' to all US Department of Energy laboratories, as well as to corresponding organizations around the world. Secretary Chu's letter to his ministerial colleagues around the world follows his Oct 2, 2009 editorial in Science Magazine, where he outlined the arguments supporting a stronger push toward carbon sequestration technology directed to a scientific audience.

While work on carbon sequestration projects has been going on for the past while, it has so far been occurring on a more relaxed timeline and with a much greater degree of tentativeness. Secretary Chu's strong endorsement will undoubtedly increase the level of near-term effort and activity in the area, and spur the technology forward in the medium term, bringing it into the forefront of climate change mitigation options for the world community. Secretary Chu's letter also places sequestration technology in the middle of the power generation cycle - rather than at the very end. He formulates sequestration as a technology alongside such related others as cleaner oxygenated combustion as well as ultrasupercritical technology which, by using steam at higher temperatures and pressures, raises the thermodynamic efficiency of the power generation process, thus producing more power per unit of coal used, and contributing to a decrease in carbon emissions.

Secretary Chu also situates carbon sequestration more properly within the suite of climate change mitigation options - which would include economy-wide improvements in energy efficiency, conservation, as well as carbon-free generation of energy. Part of the challenge of assigning priorities (and funding) to different R&D options is also assessing the urgency of the sub-problem that the technology is designed to solve, relative to the intrinsic merit and state of development of the technology itself. What carbon sequestration can do, if successfully developed and deployed, is to cut the flow rate of carbon dioxide emission into the atmosphere drastically, even while the energy generation mix remains roughly the same as now (as it will for at least the next couple decades). Deployment timeframes for energy generation options that significantly reduce emissions relative to the current mix are all a decade or more beyond (with the possible exception of wind turbines). Therefore, a technology that promises to cut the net emissions from the existing generation mix must be moved up the priority, effort and funding list. This is the judgment call that I see Secretary Chu as having made. The subtext is the realization that Climate Change itself is in the here and now; arresting the net flow of carbon dioxide is urgent; even while technologies such as solar or fusion that promise to reduce the gross flow in the future are aggressively developed. What this endorsement will also do is make the entire field of sequestration science more 'sexy', attracting physicists, biologists and chemists into the field, that is otherwise dominated by petroleum geologists or engineers.

Just prior to the Ministerial meeting, the Carbon Sequestration Leadership Forum added ten new R&D Projects to its portfolio, including one each in Texas, British Columbia and Alberta.

Postscript: After I wrote this post, I discovered a presentation by Prof. Sir Christopher Llewellyn Smith, FRS, on Energy Options. One of his slides particularly well illustrates the point I make above on carbon sequestration not being just a post-combustion technology, but being a suite of technologies potentially applicable before, during and after the actual combustion:

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Canada: Nuclear Renaissance or Nuclear Vita Nova?

The Nuclear Renaissance has been a much-awaited thing in Canada, for at least the last four years, if not longer. Renaissance, of course, suggests the idea of 'rebirth', a beginning anew of a life once lived; with the subtext that things in this rebirthed life will be much the same as before, only newer.

Over the last several decades, the Canadian nuclear industry evolved to encompass three main sectors: Uranium Mining, Reactors for Power Production, and Radioisotopes for Medical Uses. Of these three, the reactor segment has had the greatest visibility, while, on a worldwide basis, it was actually the uranium mining and medical radioisotope segments which had the greatest relative market share. A 'renaissance' in the Canadian nuclear sector therefore came to be understood primarily in terms of new reactors, and new reactors essentially of the same CANDU pressure-tube configuration that Canada pioneered and which now are operating in many other countries as well.

But in his speech at the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission's Annual Regulatory Information Conference in March 2009, NRC-RIC-2009, the Deputy Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Mr. Tomohiro Taniguchi of Japan, speaking at the session on Global Perspectives on the Nuclear Renaissance, introduced a new phrase that he hoped would refocus the emphasis on new ways of doing things in the new nuclear age: Nuclear Vita Nova:
I, on the other hand, view this reality as a Vita Nova, or new life, because the nuclear community needs new ideas and innovative thinking to address new challenges, rather than a simple revival of the "good old days."

At the current juncture, when Nuclear New Build - which seemed imminent just a few months ago - has been indefinitely postponed in the main Canadian province; when the main Canadian reactor builder faces an uncertain future; and when the main private reactor operator in Canada has withdrawn its license applications for new nuclear reactors - it is certainly worth pondering what is in store for the Canadian nuclear sector - a Renaissance, or a Vita Nova? And if it is to be the latter, might the relative (and perceived) importance of the three main sectors change from what it was in the past? At the moment the answer is not clear, but the singular salience of the question must certainly be recognized.

(Dr. Taniguchi took care to mention at the end of his talk, for the benefit of those who might have missed the allusion, which, given his audience, was probably everybody - that his neologism 'Vita Nova' was actually the Latin form of the Italian La Vita Nuova, the title of a collection of verse that Dante Alighieri wrote in 1295, being an expression of the medieval genre of courtly love. Incidentally, the incoming Director General of the IAEA, beginning 01 December 2009, is also from Japan - Yukiya Amano. He will be taking over from Dr. Mohamed El-Baradei of Egypt, who has been named Director General Emeritus, an honor he shares with Dr. Hans Blix. Dr. Amano's appointment to the Director-Generalship of the IAEA will be ratified during the 53rd General Conference of the IAEA in Vienna, 14-18 September 2009. Like Dr. El-Baradei and Dr. Blix, Dr. Amano is also a lawyer. By coincidence, the current Director-General of ITER, Mr. Kaname Ikeda, and the current Executive Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), Mr. Nobuo Tanaka, are also Japanese.)

Update: After I wrote this post, I discovered that on the TV Ontario program The Agenda, the season-opening episode on 8th September had been on Canada's Nuclear Future. I am pleased to embed the video, featuring an extremely spirited discussion (in which, as Steve Paikin, the host, quipped, they ran out of time but clearly not energy. The astute physicist reader of this blog will immediately see Steve Paikin's probably unintended pun here - since energy and time are classically canonically conjugate variables, they are related through a quantum uncertainty principle - the more precisely you bound one of them [in this case, time], the more uncertain the other will be!):

Friday, August 14, 2009

The Other Chandrasekhar Limit

As a schoolboy in India, one couldn't help knowing of the Chandrasekhar mass limit. I distinctly remember being challenge-quizzed by fellow schoolmates about it - as early as the sixth grade. That an Indian-born astrophysicist had discovered a fundamental limit - the stellar mass, that, if exceeded in a white dwarf, could lead to gravitational collapse - was something every Indian schoolboy in the 1970s seemed to know (at least in the schools I went to!). Later, in high school, I remember doing an elementary calculation, and later still, at college and university, more detailed calculations were done. Chandrasekhar himself became an idol of sorts, and his benign gaze, from a picture portrait framed on the wall above my desk, was deeply inspiring in the last two years of my university career. In the very last year - 1983-84, he was also awarded the Nobel Prize in Physics, for, it turned out, the very work he had done, as a nineteen-year old, in calculating his Mass Limit. [This seemed to ignore his work of a lifetime since, which did not sit at all well with him - but be that as it may for now, it can be the subject of several blog posts.]

That, apart from Subrahmanyan Chandrasekhar, there were other Indian physicists named Chandrasekhar as well, I also knew. One of them, who also shared his first initial, was Sivaramakrishna Chandrasekhar, a liquid crystals specialist, who was at the Raman Research Institute in Bangalore (which I visited often as an undergraduate, since my family happened to live near by). [The two were actually first cousins, both also being nephews of C.V. Raman.]

But it was Professor B.S. Chandrasekhar, (Bellur Sivaramiah Chandrasekhar) formerly of Case Western Reserve University and now at the Walther Meissner Institut at Munich – like me, a Delhi University alumnus (M.Sc. 1949) and a Rhodes Scholar as well - passing through some 35 years before me - for whom another Chandrasekhar limit is named. In 1962 (the year of my birth) he wrote a paper in the very first issue of the journal Applied Physics Letters: A Note on the Maximum Critical Field of High-field Superconductors. This paper defined a natural upper limit on the ambient Magnetic Field which, if exceeded, causes a complete loss of superconductivity. Independently, the idea was also suggested by A.M. Clogston, and has ever since then been known as the Chandrasekhar-Clogston (Field) Limit.

For reasons I cannot fathom, this limit on the upper critical field of superconductors has not received the type of (er ahem) critical acclaim that the first Chandrasekhar Limit received - not even noticed in the Delhi University Physics Department, of which Prof. B.S. Chandrasekhar, is a distinguished alumnus! He was felicitated for a lifetime of work in superconductivity and condensed matter physics, with a special award at the American Physical Society March Meeting in Indianapolis in 1992 (where I was fortunate to be present). I remember seeing him from afar but being too intimidated to approach him directly and introduce myself!

Professor B.S. Chandrasekhar has continued to work on superconductivity, and still does, at the Walther Meissner Institut (the Institute is of course named for the discoverer of the famous Meissner Effect - which describes the exclusion of magnetic flux from the interior of a superconductor below its critical temperature). He has worked on the critical field of Niobium, and on magnetic fields created by superconducting solenoids. As it happens, the magnetic fields required by the ITER tokamak - both the central solenoid and the toroidal field - are created by superconducting Niobium-Tin alloy - of which some 750 tons (seven hundred fifty tons) of wire, 200 km (two hundred kilometers) long will be required. Thus, considerations following from the Chandrasekhar-Clogston Limit are relevant to ITER design and operation. What is really interesting is that the other Chandrasekhar - Subrahmanyan Chandrasekhar - worked on the theory of fusion - especially laser fusion (or inertial fusion) - using the pressure of light to push two hydrogen atoms close enough that they fuse. (This is not the approach at ITER, which is a magnetic fusion reactor). Prof. B.S. Chandrasekhar has also written a popular book, Why Things Are The Way They Are.

Today, the Chandrasekhar-Clogston limit occurs most often in the physics literature in descriptions of work relating to spin-polarized fermionic atomic fluids - which display both superfluidity through a BCS-like pairing, as well as a Bose-Einstein Condensation (BEC) after dimerization (which makes them bosons) at ultra-low temperatures. A group at the University of Trento (Italy) and, appropriately, the Walther Meissner Institut (where Prof. Dr. B.S. Chandrasekhar is a 'Permanent Guest') is active in the field. The Chandrasekhar-Clogston limit appears in that context as a critical value of the ratio of up-and-down spin polarizations in a dilute fermionic atom gas, and determines phase separation of the dilute gas into a superfluid phase and a 'normal phase'.

Whether and how the two Chandrasekhar limits, in speaking of different aspects of a gas of fermions (dilute in one case, and degenerate in another) are actually (or at all) related are interesting questions I might explore in a subsequent blog post.

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Fusion Through a Hydrogen Economy Prism

Fusion has long suffered from the unfortunate impression of being a technology that is always 'thirty years into the future'. Reality has always been more complicated, even if sometimes the impression seems to ring true. Since nuclear fusion has been understood for longer than nuclear fission, the seeming lack of progress in commercializing fusion has appeared especially frustrating. While technical issues certainly remain to be addressed, the lack of a compelling future scenario within which nuclear fusion could be seen as a 'natural' energy solution has also been a barrier in the techno-scientific as well as policy discourse surrounding fusion.

If seen merely as an attempt to extract energy by fusing deuterium and tritium atoms (in the simplest conception), fusion appears less compelling than when seen as a natural part of a future carbon-free hydrogen economy. Deuterium (D) and tritium (T), after all, are isotopes of hydrogen, and the energy they yield on fusion is usefully seen as nuclear hydrogen energy. But what if the heat yielded by the neutrons in D-T fusion were further used in thermochemical schemes to create molecular hydrogen, from which chemical or electrochemical hydrogen energy could be extracted? If this is successfully done, the transportation sector of the future could well come to be powered indirectly by fusion.

I sketch out and elaborate this vision for a fusion-driven hydrogen economy of the future in my paper Nuclear Hydrogen Production: Re-examining the Fusion Option. I discuss more generally a vision for a Fusion Island (first sketched out by Nuttall & Glowacki), in which a complete hydrogen economy is envisaged - a scheme which uses all the isotopes of hydrogen (protium, deuterium, tritium) in all forms of matter (solid, liquid, gas, plasma). I discuss the new perspective in which fusion appears when seen through such a hydrogen economy prism, the policy implications thereof, and the likely present-day economic actors who might find such a vision of the future hydrogen economy sufficiently compelling to begin more actively participating in and funding fusion R&D today. Such a new perspective on fusion also sees both fusion and fission as complements instead of substitutes, and offers novel possibilities such as fusion breeders of fission fuels, as well as, for example, fusion-fission hybrids, and fission breeders of fusion fuels.

Update Presidential Science Adviser John Holdren, giving the Rose Lecture at MIT on 25 October 2010, discussed the role of fusion and fission in providing future energy options that would mitigate climate change. He mentioned that both fission and fusion represent energy sources with 'nearly inexhaustible' fuel supplies, and though the fusion fuel supply was 'much more inexhaustible' (paraphrasing), that was not much of an advantage over fission since fission was 'quite inexhaustible already'! However, he also stressed that he personally was in favor of funding fusion R&D, since the number of such 'nearly inexhaustible' fuel options was so small. However, this funding could only be sustained if the overall funding pie for energy R&D of all kinds was increased. Here's the video of part of his talk where he discusses this issue:

Dr. Holdren also presents a number of quantitative projections for the future of nuclear power that are worth summarizing in brief. The world currently has about 440 nuclear reactors which produce a total of 375 GWe of electrical energy, constituting about 13% of world total electricity supply, a percentage that is declining even as new plants are being built - since other sources of supply are growing faster in the aggregate. He feels that in the next 90 years, that is, out to the year 2100, the world total supply of nuclear power would fall considerably short of the 3500 GWe total that some analysts have hoped for [and which would have been an order of magnitude larger than current capacity].

He feels, however, that by the year 2050, a rough quintupling of current supply, to about 1700 GWe could happen. However, I found the most remarkable figure in his talk to be the estimate of Remaining Ultimately Recoverable Uranium (RURU) as 100 Million tons, based on a recent MIT study. What this means is that a once-through fuel cycle option using natural or lightly enriched uranium will remain competitive, and that reprocessing and breeding options may not need to be commercialized for several decades yet. Of course, the issue of how this recoverable uranium is actually distributed throughout the world, as well as how widely the technology of extraction will become available, remains. Different countries who feel uranium-constrained may still very well choose to pursue fuel cycle options that include reprocessing and breeding technologies.

Wednesday, July 15, 2009

US Energy Secretary Steven Chu Speaks at MIT 12 May 2009

MIT President Susan Hockfield introduces US Energy Secretary Steven Chu, who gave the Karl Taylor Compton Lecture at MIT, one of its most prestigious invited lectures. MIT's blurb to the video quotes Steve Chu in this talk: "Can we design a modern-day equivalent of Lincoln Labs or Los Alamos, focused on mission driven research, but also connected to fundamental research and the industrial world?". Steve Chu shows how all the great Nobel Prize winning work that was done at Bell Labs - all the people whose names you grew up hearing - Nyquist, Shannon, Penzias, Anderson, Bardeen, and many more - were actually trying to solve problems of quite an applied nature, but ended up revolutionizing their fields, making fundamental lasting contributions, that in most cases has been recognized by a Nobel Prize. (Chu himself was at Bell Labs at the beginning of his career, joining in the intake year 1977-78. Five people hired that year, including himself, are now Nobel Laureates.)

The talk is well worth hearing in its entirety. I really enjoyed it. There's both wit and wisdom in it, and aplenty. At one point Chu asks, for example: What does a Boeing 777 have in common with a Bar-tailed Godwit? A: They can both fly 11,000 km nonstop. (The B-t G is a bird that annually migrates from Alaska to New Zealand in the winter, and has 55% of its weight in body fat. Likewise the Boeing has 45% of its weight in jet fuel. The factoid is relevant to a point he makes about synthetic biology - using nature as an inspiration, but going beyond.)

One of the most impressive things about Chu is not only that he refocused his research toward Climate Change mitigation beginning 2004, but, partly in response, he has also increased his knowledge base in biology very significantly. Today, from biologically created fuels on the one hand, to artificial photosynthesis on the other, solutions to Climate Change mitigation inspired by biology are being actively researched. Chu emphasized in his talk that one of the reasons for the success of Bell Labs was the 'scientist-manager', who could quickly decide whether a given idea had merit or not - because he was a often a hands-on practitioner of the field himself. Chu clearly embodies this ideal.

Chu is an active Facebooker, and I salute him not only for the content he personally uploads there, but also for the infectious enthusiasm and compelling sense of mission he communicates to the world at large and to technically literate and younger audiences in particular.

Here's an earlier talk by Steve Chu when he was Director of the Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, from back in 2005, on the same general subject of climate change science, possible biomimic solutions (both to sequestration and to energy production), and the culture of Bell Labs in the 1940s-1980s period:

And an even earlier talk given at UC Berkeley in May 2004, when he was still a Professor of Physics at Stanford: 'What can Physics say about Biology?'. This one is more technical, and is about how RNA transcription works at the sub-molecular scale. It is also about emboldening physicists to attempt answers to biological questions, and how ultimately, it might well be possible to explain life in terms of the 'jiggling and wiggling of atoms and molecules' (an old quote from Feynman that Steve Chu cites in the talk). Physics, he points out, is still young (only 400 years since Galileo) and the future of physics may well lie in biology. There is also the very faintest hint that climate change may be ultimately be stabilized by a biological solution, because he points out that the amplitude of temperature fluctuations on earth dropped markedly after agriculture was introduced. Cause and effect is not fully clear: for example, it could be that the temperature stabilization was exogenous, but made agriculture possible as a result. Equally, it is also possible that agriculture was a form of biological anthropogenic intervention that, operating on a large scale, stabilized climate, making life and civilization (and physics) possible. Here is the hint that if photosynthesis was properly understood as a 'physics problem', then an 'artificial photosynthesis' could be designed that could sequester (fix) carbon dioxide from the atmosphere more efficiently.